LY 12 · JFK → TLV

took off 4:10 AM ET · landed 7:39 PM IST (scheduled 1:39 AM ET → 5:40 PM IST)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TLV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ 1am departures from JFK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TLV

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TLV (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LY 12 · JFK → TLV

Odds over time

How late did it get to TLV?