Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 6309 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:20 PM ET, ETA 7:58 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Today

MX 6309 · LAF → BDL

took off 6:20 PM ET · expected to land 7:58 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

Weather at each end

LAF (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 6309 · LAF → BDL

Odds over time