OH 5240 · IND → PHL

took off 1:58 PM ET · landed 3:20 PM ET (scheduled 1:36 PM ET → 3:32 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5240 · IND → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?