OO 3436 · SEA → YLW

took off 12:00 PM PT · landed 12:49 PM PDT (scheduled 11:34 AM PT → 12:53 PM PDT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at YLW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YLW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into YLW at that hour are usually not late

↓ YLW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

YLW (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3436 · SEA → YLW

Odds over time

How late did it get to YLW?