OO 3808 · SLC → MSO

took off 4:18 PM MT · landed 5:25 PM MT (scheduled 4:05 PM MT → 5:45 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO

↑ 4pm departures from SLC are often late

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3808 · SLC → MSO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSO?