Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Tomorrow
OO 5111 · DEN → PIR
departs 9:02 PM MT · arrives 11:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Mon 10/26
Tue 10/27 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIR more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PIR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PIR?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at PIR that day
↑
9pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
PIR usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.17 in
PIR (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.