Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5425 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 1:36 PM PT (1 H 7 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 26 Today

OO 5425 · MRY → SFO

departs 12:23 PM PT · arrives 1:15 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY

Weather at each end

MRY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5425 · MRY → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?