Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5619
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
OO 5619 · IAH → OKC
departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 11:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 31%
Fri 10/30 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
9am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 8,071 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.