Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5851
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Today
OO 5851 · ASE → LAX
departs 8:19 AM MT · arrives 9:41 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 12%
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
8%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
ASE is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.