Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 511
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
PD 511 · YOW → FLL
departs 7:15 AM EDT · arrives 10:51 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Sat 10/31 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave YOW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt forecast at FLL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YOW
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YOW (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
FLL (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.