Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 595
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
PD 595 · YHM → FLL
departs 8:15 AM EDT · arrives 11:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave YHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt forecast at FLL that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YHM
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YHM (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
FLL (destination)
Gusts 39 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.