Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 656 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Today

PD 656 · LAS → YYZ

took off 11:45 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 12:01 AM PT → 7:28 AM EDT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 656 · LAS → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?