Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PHILIPPINE AIRLINES · FLIGHT PR 5105 LANDED 4:50 AM PST, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Today

PR 5105 · SFO → MNL

took off 12:56 AM PT · landed 4:50 AM PST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 19h after departure

Arrive at MNL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MNL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 5105 · SFO → MNL

Odds over time