PT 5866 · PHL → TYS

took off 1:15 PM ET · landed 2:38 PM ET (scheduled 1:22 PM ET → 3:33 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TYS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5866 · PHL → TYS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TYS?