PT 5935 · PHL → BUF

took off 4:29 PM ET · landed 5:18 PM ET (scheduled 3:18 PM ET → 4:40 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5935 · PHL → BUF

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUF?