PT 5953 · PHL → ROC

took off 1:21 PM ET · landed 2:09 PM ET (scheduled 12:56 PM ET → 2:20 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ROC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5953 · PHL → ROC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ROC?