PT 6009 · MDT → PHL

took off 11:27 AM ET · landed 11:57 AM ET (scheduled 10:37 AM ET → 11:37 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at MDT that day

↑ PT's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6009 · MDT → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?