Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 15 LANDED 9:26 AM PT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

QF 15 · BNE → LAX

took off · landed 9:26 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 23h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNE

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

BNE (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QF 15 · BNE → LAX

Odds over time