RV 1721 · YYZ → PHX

took off 10:17 AM EDT · landed 11:36 AM MT (scheduled 9:36 AM EDT → 11:11 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from YYZ are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1721 · YYZ → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?