Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1735 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

RV 1735 · YYZ → IAH

departs 8:35 AM EDT · arrives 11:26 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from YYZ are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1735 · YYZ → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?