Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 567 LANDED 5:40 AM CST, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

TA 567 · JFK → SAL

took off 3:35 AM ET · landed 5:40 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 20h after departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 567 · JFK → SAL

Odds over time