tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 203 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

TP 203 · LIS → EWR

departs 5:50 PM WET · arrives 10:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.