UA 1027 · SEA → LAX

took off 12:34 PM PT · landed 2:38 PM PT (scheduled 12:20 PM PT → 3:07 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

LAX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1027 · SEA → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?