Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2176 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

UA 2176 · GSP → ORD

departs 6:13 AM ET · arrives 7:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

Weather at each end

GSP (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2176 · GSP → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?