tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 220 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 220 · ORD → BWI

departs 7:43 PM CT · arrives 10:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BWI?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.