UA 606 · ORD → EWR

took off 1:14 PM CT · landed 3:46 PM ET (scheduled 11:50 AM CT → 3:02 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 606 · ORD → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?