tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8107 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 8107 · SFO → LAS

departs 12:23 PM PT · arrives 2:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
38% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.