Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 941 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

UA 941 · LHR → EWR

departs 4:12 PM GMT · arrives 8:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 941 · LHR → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?