VB 153 · IAH → MEX

took off 11:52 AM CT · landed 12:47 PM CST (scheduled 11:13 AM CT → 12:37 PM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MEX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ 11am departures from IAH are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 153 · IAH → MEX

Odds over time

How late did it get to MEX?