VS 127 · MAN → JFK

took off 3:34 PM GMT · landed 6:48 PM ET (scheduled 2:56 PM GMT → 6:35 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JFK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MAN

Weather at each end

MAN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VS 127 · MAN → JFK

Odds over time

How late did it get to JFK?