tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

VIRGIN ATLANTIC · FLIGHT VS 3 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

VS 3 · LHR → JFK

departs 8:20 AM GMT · arrives 12:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 19h after departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.