Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1798 LANDED 10:46 PM MT, ~111 MIN EARLY

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

WN 1798 · DAL → PHX

took off 10:43 PM CT · landed 10:46 PM MT (scheduled 12:00 AM CT → 12:43 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1798 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?