WN 1807 · DEN → TPA

took off 5:08 AM MT · landed 10:06 AM ET (scheduled 4:53 AM MT → 10:21 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.37 in

TPA (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1807 · DEN → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?