WN 1927 · FLL → MDW

took off 2:00 PM ET · landed 3:40 PM CT (scheduled 12:54 PM ET → 3:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Gusts to 36 kt forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MDW that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

MDW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1927 · FLL → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?