Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1928 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

WN 1928 · FLL → MDW

took off 7:18 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:21 PM ET → 8:41 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MDW that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

MDW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1928 · FLL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?