WN 1969 · DEN → TUS

took off 8:55 AM MT · landed 9:32 AM MT (scheduled 8:31 AM MT → 9:40 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.37 in

TUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1969 · DEN → TUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TUS?