WN 2178 · DEN → BZN

departs 8:36 AM MT · arrives 10:20 AM MT

Your aircraft is N8531Q (B738), coming in as WN 2621 from MCI: landed 7:28 AM MT.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at BZN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.37 in

BZN (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2178 · DEN → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?