WN 2348 · LAS → OAK

took off 12:45 PM PT · landed 1:51 PM PT (scheduled 10:53 AM PT → 12:31 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2348 · LAS → OAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAK?