WN 256 · PHX → HNL

took off 9:58 AM MT · landed 1:17 PM HT (scheduled 9:38 AM MT → 1:15 PM HT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 256 · PHX → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?