WN 2819 · MCO → TYS

took off 11:44 AM ET · landed 12:57 PM ET (scheduled 11:19 AM ET → 1:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TYS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from MCO are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2819 · MCO → TYS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TYS?