tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3869 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

WN 3869 · SLC → BWI

took off 4:14 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 3:39 PM MT → 9:52 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BWI?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.