WN 4328 · PHX → BNA

took off 12:36 PM MT · landed 5:27 PM CT (scheduled 11:51 AM MT → 5:09 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 11am departures from PHX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4328 · PHX → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?