Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 884 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

WN 884 · CHS → BWI

took off 8:12 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:03 PM ET → 9:51 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from CHS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 884 · CHS → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?