Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Today
WS 1499 · SFO → YYC
departs 6:03 AM PT · arrives 9:43 AM MDT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 7%
Thu 10/29 6%
Fri 10/30 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at YYC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YYC?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SFO is busy at that time
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YYC (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.