Y4 7841 · LAX → ZCL

took off 1:28 AM PT · landed 4:59 AM CST (scheduled 1:03 AM PT → 5:11 AM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 19h after departure

Arrive at ZCL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −63 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ZCL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1am departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Arrivals into ZCL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ZCL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 7841 · LAX → ZCL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ZCL?