Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR PREMIA · FLIGHT YP 136 LANDED 5:19 AM KST, ~115 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

YP 136 · IAD → ICN

took off 1:08 AM ET · landed 5:19 AM KST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAD is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at IAD that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ICN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YP 136 · IAD → ICN

Odds over time