tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6354 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

YV 6354 · ORF → IAD

departs 10:31 AM ET · arrives 11:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.