YX 4497 · LGA → CLE

took off 12:41 PM ET · landed 1:44 PM ET (scheduled 12:23 PM ET → 2:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4497 · LGA → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?