Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ZIPAIR · FLIGHT ZG 15 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:03 AM CT, ETA 2:13 PM JST)
Yesterday

ZG 15 · IAH → NRT

took off 11:03 AM CT · expected to land 2:13 PM JST (scheduled 12:00 PM CT → 3:42 PM JST)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.