Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7392 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

2K 7392 · GYE → JFK

departs 7:28 PM -05 · arrives 2:26 AM ET

Your aircraft is N775AV (A20N), coming in as GLG7393 from JFK: still at JFK, due off about 2:40 AM ET, 700 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GYE

Weather at each end

GYE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

2K 7392 · GYE → JFK

Odds over time